Prediction
Answer Options
As of 11 October 2026, 00:26 UTC, versus prices Yes at a 6% chance and No at 94%.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if JD Vance announces that he will not run for President of the United States in the 2028 United States presidential election, at any point between market creation and 05:59 CET on January 1, 2027. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying announcement must definitively indicate that Vance will not run for President in 2028, or that he will never run for President. Statements that Vance has not yet made a decision on whether to run will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from JD Vance or his official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Each percentage is the market’s current estimate of how likely that answer is. A contract settles at 100p if the answer is right and at 0p if it is wrong.
Reported by versus Markets
