Prediction
Answer Options
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As of 30 October 2026, 09:56 UTC, versus prices Yes at a 8% chance and No at 92%.
This prediction concerns Sinaloa's 6 Jun 2027 gubernatorial vote. YES if María Fernanda Rivera is the elected winner. Any other candidate is NO; an interim or caretaker appointment does not count. If no definitive winner is known by 23:59 ET on 31 Dec 2027, it settles NO. Consistent reputable reports determine the result; if they conflict, use official publications from Sinaloa and Mexico, including the state Electoral Institute and Mexico's National Electoral Institute.
Each percentage is the market’s current estimate of how likely that answer is. A contract settles at 100p if the answer is right and at 0p if it is wrong.
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