Which party wins Virginia's 1st district?

As of 11 October 2026, 00:27 UTC, versus prices Republican Party at a 45% chance and Democratic Party at 56%.

Category

politics

Closes

2026-11-04 00:00 UTC

Answers

2

Chances as of

2026-10-11 00:27 UTC

Resolves to the party of the candidate who wins Virginia’s 1st congressional district (VA-01) in the 2026 U.S. House elections. The midterm elections take place on November 4, 2026. A candidate’s party is determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation at the time all 2026 House races are conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed Democratic or Republican affiliation will still be assigned to one of those two parties under the market rules.

Answer options

• Republican Party45%
• Democratic Party56%

Each percentage is the market’s current estimate of how likely that answer is. A contract settles at 100p if the answer is right and at 0p if it is wrong.

Reported by @ShannonTaylorVA