Prediction
Answer Options
As of 12 October 2026, 09:21 UTC, versus prices Yes at a 85% chance and No at 15%.
YES if France is officially recorded as winner of 2026–27 UEFA Nations League Group A1; otherwise NO. If teams tie, UEFA's official tiebreak procedure applies. If another team wins the group, the answer is NO. If the competition is cancelled, postponed beyond 1 December 2026 at 11:59 PM ET, or no group winner is declared by then, the answer is NO. Official UEFA information is primary, with reliable independent reports when primary records are unavailable.
Each percentage is the market’s current estimate of how likely that answer is. A contract settles at 100p if the answer is right and at 0p if it is wrong.
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