Who will hold the UFC lightweight belt on 31 Dec?

As of 11 October 2026, 00:27 UTC, the most likely answer on versus is Justin Gaethje at a 92% chance, ahead of Arman Tsarukyan at 7% and Ilia Topuria at 1%.

Category

sports

Closes

2026-12-31 00:00 UTC

Answers

11

Chances as of

2026-10-11 00:27 UTC

This market resolves to the official UFC Lightweight division champion as of December 31, 2026, 6:00 PM CET. Only the official UFC division champion counts. Interim champions do not count. If the belt is vacant at that check time, or if there is otherwise no official champion in the division, the market resolves to “Other.” The primary resolution source is official information from the UFC: https://www.ufc.com/athletes

Answer options

• Ilia Topuria1%
• Arman Tsarukyan7%
• Charles Oliveira<1%
• Max Holloway<1%
• Justin Gaethje92%
• Paddy Pimblett<1%