Prediction
Answer Options
As of 11 October 2026, 01:30 UTC, versus prices Aaron Ford (D) at a 64% chance and Joe Lombardo (R) at 38%.
YES goes to the listed answer whose candidate gets the most valid votes cast in Washoe County, Nevada, in Nevada's race for governor (general election on 3 November 2026), measured against every candidate on the county ballot, whether a party nominee or an independent. Aaron Ford (D) stands for the Democratic Party's nominee and Joe Lombardo (R) for the Republican Party's nominee; if either party replaces its nominee before election day, that answer follows the replacement nominee. Candidates are ranked by their valid votes in Washoe County, equal totals are ordered alphabetically by surname, and the candidate ranked first wins. If anyone other than the two party nominees ranks first, both answers are NO. If the Washoe County result is not definitively known by 31 March 2027 at 11:59 PM ET, both answers are NO. At most one answer is YES. Broad agreement in reliable news reports decides; where that is ambiguous, only official results from Nevada's government, such as the Nevada Secretary of State and Washoe County, decide.
Each percentage is the market’s current estimate of how likely that answer is. A contract settles at 100p if the answer is right and at 0p if it is wrong.
Reported by versus Markets
