Prediction
Answer Options
As of 11 October 2026, 00:29 UTC, versus prices Yes at a 18% chance and No at 82%.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Howard Lutnick ceases to be the US Secretary of Commerce for any period of time between the creation of this market and 05:59 CET/CEST on January 1, 2027. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An announcement of Lutnick's resignation or removal before the end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when that resignation or removal takes effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Trump administration, though a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Each percentage is the market’s current estimate of how likely that answer is. A contract settles at 100p if the answer is right and at 0p if it is wrong.
Reported by versus Markets
