Prediction
Answer Options
As of 12 October 2026, 23:13 UTC, versus prices Yes at a 17% chance and No at 83%.
YES if Borussia Dortmund becomes champion of Germany's 2026–27 DFB-Pokal. This prediction turns NO as soon as the competition rules make a title for Borussia Dortmund impossible, such as elimination. If any other club lifts the trophy, NO. Should the cup be called off, pushed back past 12 June 2027 at 11:59 PM ET, or end without a declared winner by that moment, NO. The German Football Association's own announcement leads the evidence; broad agreement among credible football reports can also be relied on.
Each percentage is the market’s current estimate of how likely that answer is. A contract settles at 100p if the answer is right and at 0p if it is wrong.
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