Prediction
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As of 12 October 2026, 11:05 UTC, versus prices Yes at a 90% chance and No at 10%.
YES applies if West Virginia voters approve SJR 9, the constitutional amendment restricting voting in state elections to US citizens, at the statewide general election scheduled for 3 November 2026. Rejection produces NO. If voting has not occurred or no definitive result is available by 31 March 2027, NO also applies. No clock time or time zone is specified for that date. Later lawsuits or a failure to implement an approved amendment cannot change settlement. Start with agreement among reputable election reports. If ambiguity remains, only official state information, including West Virginia’s Secretary of State at sos.wv.gov, determines the result.
Each percentage is the market’s current estimate of how likely that answer is. A contract settles at 100p if the answer is right and at 0p if it is wrong.
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