Prediction
Answer Options
As of 11 October 2026, 00:28 UTC, versus prices Republican Party at a 2% chance and Democratic Party at 98%.
Resolves to the party of the candidate who wins California’s 17th congressional district (CA-17) in the 2026 U.S. House elections. The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled for November 4, 2026. A candidate’s party is determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation at the time all 2026 House elections are conclusively called by the market’s resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed Democratic or Republican affiliation will still be assigned to one of those parties under the market rules.
Each percentage is the market’s current estimate of how likely that answer is. A contract settles at 100p if the answer is right and at 0p if it is wrong.
Reported by @RepRoKhanna
