
Prediction
Answer Options
As of 11 October 2026, 00:27 UTC, versus prices Chiang Wan-an at a 68% chance and Puma Shen at 31%.
YES goes to the candidate who becomes Taipei mayor in Taiwan’s local election on 28 November 2026. Temporary, interim and placeholder appointments before that election are excluded. If no elected mayor or definite result exists by 30 June 2027, 11:59 PM ET, use Other. Begin with a consistent account of the election result; when reports conflict, the official Central Election Commission of Taiwan record controls. Exactly one listed candidate can win.
Each percentage is the market’s current estimate of how likely that answer is. A contract settles at 100p if the answer is right and at 0p if it is wrong.
Reported by versus Markets