Prediction
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As of 30 October 2026, 09:05 UTC, versus prices Yes at a 15% chance and No at 85%.
This prediction concerns valid votes in the Nevada governor contest at the 2026 US midterms. YES if the final total is at least 1,275,000 and below 1,350,000. Otherwise NO. Count every certified vote for a candidate or a non-candidate choice; exclude blank and invalidated votes. For a ranked-choice or preferential count, use the first-round total. A number exactly on a boundary belongs to the higher interval. If definitive results are still unknown at 31 Mar 2027 at 23:59 ET, this prediction is NO; neither of these intervals is the lowest fallback category. Official results from Nevada's authority responsible for election certification are the main evidence. A very broad agreement among reliable news reports may also establish the count.
Each percentage is the market’s current estimate of how likely that answer is. A contract settles at 100p if the answer is right and at 0p if it is wrong.
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