Prediction
Answer Options
As of 11 October 2026, 00:26 UTC, versus prices James Talarico (D) at a 93% chance and Ken Paxton (R) at 2%.
YES applies to the listed party nominee or independent candidate who leads Fort Bend County by valid votes in the Texas U.S. Senate election on 3 November 2026. Rank candidates by valid votes; ties use alphabetical order of last name. If a named party nominee is replaced before election day, the replacement represents that party. If county results remain unsettled by 31 March 2027 at 11:59 PM ET, use Other. Use broad agreement among reliable reports; where those reports are ambiguous, use official returns from Texas’s Secretary of State and Fort Bend County.
Each percentage is the market’s current estimate of how likely that answer is. A contract settles at 100p if the answer is right and at 0p if it is wrong.
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