Prediction
Answer Options
As of 11 October 2026, 00:30 UTC, versus prices Yes at a 10% chance and No at 90%.
YES applies if Mauricio Pochettino is no longer the USMNT head coach before the first 2027 Concacaf Gold Cup match, scheduled for 19 June 2027. Otherwise NO applies. Dismissal, resignation, mutual departure and a move to another role qualify; illness, compassionate leave or suspension without ending his head-coach contract does not qualify. If the tournament is cancelled or moved beyond 31 July 2027, assess whether he had left by 19 June 2027 at 11:59 PM ET. U.S. Soccer announcements are primary, with agreement among reliable reporting also admissible.
Each percentage is the market’s current estimate of how likely that answer is. A contract settles at 100p if the answer is right and at 0p if it is wrong.
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