Prediction
Answer Options
As of 11 October 2026, 01:30 UTC, the most likely answer on versus is Scott Gillingham at a 74% chance, ahead of Kevin Klein at 17% and Mazher Alam at 7%.
YES goes to the listed candidate who wins Winnipeg's mayoral election, scheduled for 28 October 2026, and becomes the next mayor of the city (Winnipeg, Manitoba, Canada) as a result. Anyone appointed or serving as a temporary, interim or placeholder mayor before that election does not count. If the outcome of the election is not known by 30 June 2027 at 11:59 PM ET, or the winner is not one of the listed candidates, no listed answer wins and every listed answer settles NO; at most one listed candidate can be YES. Consistent reporting from several reputable outlets decides; where the results are in any way unclear, official information from the City of Winnipeg controls.
Each percentage is the market’s current estimate of how likely that answer is. A contract settles at 100p if the answer is right and at 0p if it is wrong.
Reported by versus Markets
