Prediction
Answer Options
As of 11 October 2026, 00:30 UTC, the most likely answer on versus is No Change at a 87% chance, ahead of Decrease at 12% and Increase at 3%.
This market resolves according to the change in the key rate resulting from the Bank of Russia's October meeting, relative to the level it stood at before that meeting. The resolution source is information released by the Bank of Russia after its 23 October 2026 meeting, as listed on the official Bank of Russia calendar: https://www.cbr.ru/eng/dkp/cal_mp/#t13 This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Russia's press release covering its October 2026 meeting is issued with the relevant data. If no decision on the key rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market resolves to the "No Change" bracket.
Each percentage is the market’s current estimate of how likely that answer is. A contract settles at 100p if the answer is right and at 0p if it is wrong.
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