Prediction
Answer Options
As of 11 October 2026, 01:31 UTC, versus prices Yes at a 22% chance and No at 78%.
This market resolves YES if Google LLC and SpaceX officially announce an agreement related to launching, developing, operating or partnering on orbital data centres or orbital computing infrastructure by 05:59 CET on 1 January 2027. Otherwise it resolves NO. Qualifying agreements include launch agreements, strategic partnerships, joint ventures, infrastructure agreements, or other formal commercial arrangements directly related to orbital data centres or space-based computing infrastructure. Announcements by Google, SpaceX, Alphabet Inc. or their authorised representatives will qualify, regardless of whether the agreement has closed, been fully executed, or entered into force. Non-binding discussions, reports of negotiations, rumours, exploratory talks, or agreements unrelated to orbital data centres or orbital computing infrastructure will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market is official statements from Google, Alphabet or SpaceX, though a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Each percentage is the market’s current estimate of how likely that answer is. A contract settles at 100p if the answer is right and at 0p if it is wrong.
Reported by versus Markets
