How high will America's national debt climb by 31 Dec?

As of 11 October 2026, 00:27 UTC, the most likely answer on versus is $40 trillion at a >99% chance, ahead of $41 trillion at 55% and $42 trillion at 4%.

Category

other

Closes

2026-12-31 00:00 UTC

Answers

3

Chances as of

2026-10-11 00:27 UTC

For each listed value, that outcome counts as Yes if the U.S. national debt reaches that level at any time on or before January 1, 2027, 5:59 AM CET; otherwise it resolves No. Resolution is based on the U.S. Treasury Department (treasurydirect.gov/NP_WS/debt/current). If that page becomes unavailable, another credible source will be used.

Answer options

• $40 trillion>99%
• $41 trillion55%
• $42 trillion4%

Each percentage is the market’s current estimate of how likely that answer is. A contract settles at 100p if the answer is right and at 0p if it is wrong.

Reported by @charliebilello