Prediction
Answer Options
As of 12 October 2026, 21:38 UTC, versus prices Yes at a 4% chance and No at 96%.
YES if Honor of Kings wins the Esports Mobile Game of the Year award at the 2026 Esports Awards, with the ceremony scheduled in Miami, Florida in November 2026; otherwise NO. Only this award counts; nominations and other categories, such as mobile player or mobile team awards, do not. For joint winners, YES only if Honor of Kings is among them and its name, as written here, comes first alphabetically among the joint winners' names. If another game wins, the answer is NO. If the award is cancelled, never presented, or still lacks an announced winner at 11:59 PM ET on 14 December 2026, the answer is NO. Official Esports Awards announcements at esportsawards.com are the primary evidence; agreement across reputable reports may also establish the result.
Each percentage is the market’s current estimate of how likely that answer is. A contract settles at 100p if the answer is right and at 0p if it is wrong.
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