Prediction
Answer Options
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As of 30 October 2026, 09:21 UTC, versus prices Yes at a 30% chance and No at 70%.
This prediction covers the South Carolina 2026 Senate race, a race decided at the 2026 midterm elections, scheduled for 3 Nov 2026, local time. YES if the winning margin in the South Carolina 2026 Senate race is 1% or less. NO if the margin is above 1%. Anything else is NO. The margin is the gap, in percentage points, between the valid-vote shares of the top two candidates, each share being that candidate's valid votes divided by the total of valid ballots counted. In a runoff, ranked-choice or other multi-round contest, the margin of the round that settles the winner counts. The official results published by the state election authority of that state decide. If that authority has not published usable figures, consistent reports from reputable news outlets decide.
Each percentage is the market’s current estimate of how likely that answer is. A contract settles at 100p if the answer is right and at 0p if it is wrong.
Reported by versus Markets
