Prediction
Answer Options
As of 11 October 2026, 00:28 UTC, the most likely answer on versus is Wild Horse Nine at a 56% chance, ahead of The Debut at 19% and Obsession at 8%.
The Academy Awards are presented each year by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences to honour outstanding artistic and technical achievement in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, with the ceremony following on March 14, 2027. This market resolves according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Original Screenplay. If a film is not officially nominated for Best Original Screenplay when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market resolves immediately to "No". If there is a tie for the winner, this market resolves in favour of the nominated film whose listed title comes first alphabetically. If no winner has been declared by 05:59 CET/CEST on July 1, 2027, this market resolves to "Other". The primary resolution source is official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including their website (https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the ceremony, though a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Each percentage is the market’s current estimate of how likely that answer is. A contract settles at 100p if the answer is right and at 0p if it is wrong.
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