Prediction
Answer Options
As of 11 October 2026, 00:30 UTC, versus prices Eric Burlison (R) at a 96% chance and Missi Hesketh (D) at 4%.
YES selects the party winning the MO-07 district's U.S. House seat in the midterms scheduled for 3 November 2026. Determine the winner's party affiliation only once every 2026 House contest has been conclusively called by the deciding sources. Use the party shown on the ballot or an otherwise identifiable affiliation. Where the ballot does not identify the winner as a Democrat or Republican, use their most recently expressed intention to caucus with either party at that same point. Agreement among reliable news reports establishes the result; any ambiguity requires the official U.S. government result reported by the Federal Election Commission. Candidate names identify the displayed party options, rather than making victory by that particular individual a requirement. No separate settlement hour or time zone is specified.
Each percentage is the market’s current estimate of how likely that answer is. A contract settles at 100p if the answer is right and at 0p if it is wrong.
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