Prediction
Answer Options
As of 11 October 2026, 01:29 UTC, the most likely answer on versus is Agbu Kefas at a 73% chance, ahead of Emmanuel Bwacha at 24% and Shiddi Usman Danjuma at 4%.
YES goes to the listed candidate who is officially elected Governor of Taraba State, Nigeria, in the 2027 governorship election, the vote that chooses the governor for the term starting in 2027. That vote is currently scheduled for 6 February 2027; if it is officially moved, the rescheduled election counts. Interim, acting or caretaker governors do not count. A winner must meet the requirements of Nigerian law, including the most votes cast and the spread of votes across the state that the constitution demands; if nobody wins outright, any further election or runoff held before the deadline also counts. If a candidate who is not listed is elected, or if nobody has been officially elected or the result is not definitively known by 31 October 2027 at 11:59 PM ET, every listed candidate is NO. Broad agreement among reliable news reports decides; where that is unclear, only official results from INEC, Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission, and other Nigerian government bodies decide. At most one listed candidate is YES; all others are NO.
Each percentage is the market’s current estimate of how likely that answer is. A contract settles at 100p if the answer is right and at 0p if it is wrong.
Reported by versus Markets
