Prediction
Answer Options
As of 11 October 2026, 01:32 UTC, the most likely answer on versus is 30 to 34 seats at a 37% chance, ahead of 35 to 39 seats at 30% and 40 to 44 seats at 19%.
YES belongs to the live bracket containing the Labour Party’s total seats in New Zealand’s House of Representatives after the 7 November 2026 general election. Exactly one bracket is YES. If the result is still not definitive by 31 October 2027 at 11:59 PM ET, choose the lowest bracket. Count only seats won in that election. A broad agreement among reputable election reports supplies the initial result; any ambiguity is settled by the official New Zealand Electoral Commission count.
Each percentage is the market’s current estimate of how likely that answer is. A contract settles at 100p if the answer is right and at 0p if it is wrong.
Reported by versus Markets
