Prediction
Answer Options
As of 11 October 2026, 00:26 UTC, the most likely answer on versus is 9,000,000 or more at a 24% chance, ahead of 7,750,000 to under 8,000,000 at 21% and 7,500,000 to under 7,750,000 at 17%.
Choose the band that contains the certified count of valid ballots cast in Florida's 2026 US Senate midterm. One band is marked YES; every other band is NO. Add votes certified for candidates and for ballot choices that are not candidates, but leave out blanks and invalid ballots. Where ranked-choice or preferential counting is used, use the first-round total. A count exactly on a dividing line belongs to the higher band. If the election still lacks a definitive result at 31 March 2027 11:59 PM ET, mark the lowest band YES. The state body that certifies the election is the main authority for the result; broad agreement among dependable news reports can also establish the number.
Each percentage is the market’s current estimate of how likely that answer is. A contract settles at 100p if the answer is right and at 0p if it is wrong.
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