Prediction
Answer Options
As of 11 October 2026, 01:32 UTC, the most likely answer on versus is Jordan Bardella at a 96% chance, ahead of Marine Le Pen at 2% and David Rachline at 2%.
The National Rally's 2026 Congress is scheduled for October 24–25, 2026 in Orléans, where the results of the election for party president are expected to be announced. This market will resolve to the individual who is officially announced as President of the National Rally following that Congress. To count for resolution, the individual must be officially elected, re-elected, or otherwise announced by the National Rally as its President following the 2026 Congress. If no such President of the National Rally is announced by 05:59 CET on January 1, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the National Rally; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Each percentage is the market’s current estimate of how likely that answer is. A contract settles at 100p if the answer is right and at 0p if it is wrong.
Reported by versus Markets
