Prediction
Answer Options
As of 11 October 2026, 01:32 UTC, versus prices Yes at a 16% chance and No at 84%.
YES applies if any model reaches at least 1580 in the Score column of the Text Arena Coding leaderboard with style control off by 31 December 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. The official Arena.AI Coding leaderboard is the deciding record. If it is temporarily unavailable, keep the prediction open until it returns and use the first available check; if it becomes permanently unavailable, the answer is NO. A score from another section or a different style setting does not qualify.
Each percentage is the market’s current estimate of how likely that answer is. A contract settles at 100p if the answer is right and at 0p if it is wrong.
Reported by versus Markets
