Prediction
Answer Options
As of 11 October 2026, 01:30 UTC, versus prices Mike Haridopolos (R) at a 95% chance and Jennifer Jenkins (D) at 5%.
The winning answer represents the party that secures the US House seat for district FL-08 in the election on 3 November 2026. Candidate names identify the party options; settlement follows the winning party. Use the affiliation shown on the ballot, or otherwise established, when every 2026 House contest has been definitively called. For a winner not listed on the ballot as a Democrat or Republican, use their latest stated intention to caucus with either party as of that same point. One matching party answer is YES; all others are NO. If neither displayed party matches, both displayed answers are NO. Broad agreement among reliable reporting establishes the outcome. Any ambiguity is settled exclusively by US government election results from the Federal Election Commission (fec.gov). The scheduled closing timestamp is 4 November 2026 at 04:59 UTC; it is not a rule that an unresolved race becomes NO at that time. Wait for a conclusive result, including delayed counting; no separate cancellation or tie outcome is given.
Each percentage is the market’s current estimate of how likely that answer is. A contract settles at 100p if the answer is right and at 0p if it is wrong.
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