Prediction
Answer Options
As of 30 October 2026, 09:14 UTC, versus prices Yes at a 53% chance and No at 47%.
Scope: South Africa Premiership, season 2026-27. YES if Marumo Gallants is confirmed as relegated at the close of that campaign, losing its berth for next season because of its final table position, a lost relegation playoff, or another official decision recognised by South Africa Premiership. NO if it is not relegated on that basis. A cancelled campaign, a postponement beyond 23:59 ET on 30 Jun 2027, or no relegations being confirmed by then each means NO. The primary evidence is South Africa Premiership's official announcements; consistent coverage by reputable news outlets may serve as the fallback. League decisions govern any table or playoff tie; a tie by itself is not proof of relegation.
Each percentage is the market’s current estimate of how likely that answer is. A contract settles at 100p if the answer is right and at 0p if it is wrong.
Reported by versus Markets
