Prediction
Answer Options
As of 11 October 2026, 00:28 UTC, versus prices Yes at a 5% chance and No at 95%.
This market resolves to “Yes” if Turkey officially announces early presidential elections, to be held before the currently scheduled 2028 Turkish presidential election, at any point between market creation and January 1, 2027 at 05:59 CET. Otherwise, it resolves to “No.” A qualifying announcement must be an official public announcement by the Turkish government, the Presidency of Turkey, the Grand National Assembly of Turkey, or the Supreme Election Council of Turkey (YSK) that establishes, approves, schedules, or otherwise formally initiates a presidential election to take place before the currently scheduled 2028 election. Discussions, proposals, negotiations, speculation, or calls for early elections by politicians, parties, media outlets, or commentators, without official action to schedule or initiate such an election, will not qualify. If early presidential elections are officially announced before the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to “Yes” even if the elections are later postponed, canceled, or never ultimately held. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Turkish government authorities or the Supreme Election Council of Turkey (YSK), though a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Each percentage is the market’s current estimate of how likely that answer is. A contract settles at 100p if the answer is right and at 0p if it is wrong.
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