Prediction
Answer Options
As of 11 October 2026, 01:30 UTC, versus prices Yes at a 4% chance and No at 96%.
This market will resolve to Yes if, by 05:59 CET/CEST on January 1, 2027, the next Canadian federal election has been officially scheduled for a date prior to October 2029. Otherwise it will resolve to No. For a Yes resolution it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election itself take place within the market's timeframe. For example, if an election is scheduled on December 23, 2026 to be held on November 23, 2027, this market will resolve to Yes. The primary resolution source will be official information from the Government of Canada, though a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Each percentage is the market’s current estimate of how likely that answer is. A contract settles at 100p if the answer is right and at 0p if it is wrong.
Reported by versus Markets
