Prediction
Answer Options
As of 11 October 2026, 20:50 UTC, the most likely answer on versus is 1.3%+ at a 42% chance, ahead of 1.0-1.2% at 42% and 0.7-0.9% at 10%.
This market will resolve according to the German GDP growth rate, expressed as a percentage change on the same quarter a year earlier and price adjusted, as reported in the first release of the Destatis Gross Domestic Product press release for Q3 of 2026, expected to be released on October 30, 2026. The GDP release will be made available at https://www.destatis.de/EN/Themes/Economy/National-Accounts-Domestic-Product/_node.html If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter. The resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates to only one decimal point, for example 0.3%. This is therefore the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter, or as part of the next estimate's publication, but any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Each percentage is the market’s current estimate of how likely that answer is. A contract settles at 100p if the answer is right and at 0p if it is wrong.
Reported by versus Markets
