Prediction
Answer Options
As of 12 October 2026, 09:20 UTC, versus prices Yes at a 50% chance and No at 50%.
YES if Benfica is declared the second-placed club of Portugal's Primeira Liga for the 2026-27 season; if any other club is declared second, NO. Benfica is NO straight away once the competition's rules make a second-place finish impossible for it. If more than one club is declared second, YES only if Benfica comes first alphabetically among them. If the season is cancelled, is postponed past 31 July 2027 at 11:59 PM ET, or still has no declared runner-up by then, NO. Official information from the Primeira Liga comes first; matching reports from reliable outlets may also be used.
Each percentage is the market’s current estimate of how likely that answer is. A contract settles at 100p if the answer is right and at 0p if it is wrong.
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