Prediction
Answer Options
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As of 12 October 2026, 09:21 UTC, versus prices Yes at a 5% chance and No at 95%.
YES if the total valid votes cast in Nevada's 2026 governor election come to under 900,000; YES also if the result is not definitive by 31 March 2027 at 11:59 PM ET; otherwise NO. Certified votes for candidates and for non-candidate options are included; invalid or blank ballots are not, and in any preferential system the first-round totals are used. A total of exactly 900,000 belongs to the next range up, so the answer is NO. The Nevada election authority certifying the result decides; overwhelming reliable reporting is the fallback.
Each percentage is the market’s current estimate of how likely that answer is. A contract settles at 100p if the answer is right and at 0p if it is wrong.
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