Prediction
Answer Options
As of 12 October 2026, 11:07 UTC, versus prices Yes at a 11% chance and No at 89%.
YES if Manchester City ends UEFA's 2026–27 Champions League as the losing finalist, meaning it is the runner-up. This prediction turns NO as soon as UEFA's competition rules make it impossible for Manchester City to end as runner-up, for example when it is knocked out before the final or when it wins the final. If any other club is the runner-up, NO. If the 2026–27 Champions League is cancelled, postponed beyond 19 June 2027 at 11:59 PM ET, or its final is not played by then, NO. Official UEFA Champions League information decides; reliable news coverage may also be used.
Each percentage is the market’s current estimate of how likely that answer is. A contract settles at 100p if the answer is right and at 0p if it is wrong.
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