Prediction
Answer Options
As of 11 October 2026, 00:29 UTC, the most likely answer on versus is One Nation at a 70% chance, ahead of Greens at 13% and Labor at 5%.
Exactly one listed party or coalition receives YES for third place by seats in Victoria’s Legislative Assembly after the 28 November 2026 election (ET). Treat Liberal–National as Liberal plus Nationals together, regardless of later coalition conduct, and add both parties’ first-preference votes. Sort by seats; equal totals use combined first preferences, then alphabetical listed names. If no definitive ranking exists by 31 March 2027, 11:59 PM ET, choose NO. Use broad trustworthy election coverage; an unclear case is decided from the Victorian Electoral Commission.
Each percentage is the market’s current estimate of how likely that answer is. A contract settles at 100p if the answer is right and at 0p if it is wrong.
Reported by versus Markets
