Prediction
Answer Options
As of 12 October 2026, 20:29 UTC, versus prices Yes at a 14% chance and No at 86%.
This prediction is about the Musical Event of the Year prize handed out at the 60th annual CMA Awards of the Country Music Association, planned for 18 November 2026. YES if "Horses and Divorces", the song Kacey Musgraves recorded with Miranda Lambert wins that award; if a different collaboration wins, NO. If it was not among the official nominees in this category when the 2026 nominations were announced, NO. If two or more collaborations share the win, only the one whose title comes first in alphabetical order counts as the winner. If no winner is declared by 31 December 2026 at 11:59 PM ET, NO. The Country Music Association's own information decides, such as cmaawards.com and the televised ceremony; matching reports from reliable music media may also be used.
Each percentage is the market’s current estimate of how likely that answer is. A contract settles at 100p if the answer is right and at 0p if it is wrong.
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