
Prediction
Answer Options
As of 11 October 2026, 00:26 UTC, versus prices Yes at a 62% chance and No at 38%.
Maryland receives YES when its 2026 Division I football regular-season win count is above 3.5. Only completed regular-season victories qualify; conference-title games, bowls and playoff games are excluded, as are cancelled, weather-hit, forfeited or otherwise unplayed fixtures. If the campaign is cancelled, pushed past 26 December 2026 at 11:59 PM ET, or the total remains unknowable by then, use NO. NCAA and conference records lead, with broad agreement in reputable reporting as corroboration.
Each percentage is the market’s current estimate of how likely that answer is. A contract settles at 100p if the answer is right and at 0p if it is wrong.
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