Prediction
Answer Options
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As of 12 October 2026, 11:08 UTC, versus prices Yes at a 1% chance and No at 99%.
This prediction is about Argentina's consumer price inflation over the 12 months to December 2026: the year-on-year change, before any seasonal adjustment, in the national consumer price index (IPC), shown by INDEC, Argentina's national statistics institute, under the line 'Variación % interanual Total nacional'. YES if that figure is from 35.0% to 39.9%, both included; otherwise NO. The deciding number comes from INDEC's monthly consumer price release covering December 2026, expected in January 2027, and is taken exactly as printed, with one decimal place (for example 31.4%). If INDEC has still not put out the December 2026 number by the date its following monthly release is due, the latest month that INDEC has already published is used in its place. Timing follows INDEC's own release calendar in Argentina local time; there is no other cut-off.
Each percentage is the market’s current estimate of how likely that answer is. A contract settles at 100p if the answer is right and at 0p if it is wrong.
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