Prediction
Answer Options
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As of 30 October 2026, 09:06 UTC, versus prices Yes at a 29% chance and No at 71%.
This prediction concerns the named event. YES when David Lisnard has the largest valid presentation tally. NO for every other outcome. If candidates tie, the alphabetically earlier surname wins. If no final tally is available by 31 May 2027 at 23:59 ET, the result is NO. The French Constitutional Council final tally is primary; official French information and reputable corroborated reports are fallback evidence. Corroborated reporting may support the named official record when that record is unavailable.
Each percentage is the market’s current estimate of how likely that answer is. A contract settles at 100p if the answer is right and at 0p if it is wrong.
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