Prediction
Answer Options
As of 12 October 2026, 20:30 UTC, versus prices Yes at a 1% chance and No at 99%.
YES if Bruno Mars is named third in Spotify's official list of the most-streamed artists worldwide for 2026, usually published in the Spotify newsroom as part of Spotify Wrapped; otherwise NO. That published global list decides on its own, even if Spotify's counting period stops before 31 December 2026; no separate stream count is made, and country lists such as the UK chart do not count. If Spotify places more than one artist in third place, only the tied artist whose name comes first alphabetically is YES. If Spotify has not published its third most-streamed artist of 2026 by 11:59 PM ET on 31 January 2027, every artist is NO. Official information from Spotify decides.
Each percentage is the market’s current estimate of how likely that answer is. A contract settles at 100p if the answer is right and at 0p if it is wrong.
Reported by versus Markets
