Prediction
Answer Options
As of 12 October 2026, 11:06 UTC, versus prices Yes at a 71% chance and No at 29%.
YES if Marc Marquez is officially awarded the 2026 MotoGP World Championship; otherwise NO. If Marc Marquez becomes mathematically unable to take the title, NO from that point. If another rider becomes champion, NO. If the 2026 season is cancelled, pushed beyond 11:59 PM ET on 13 December 2026, or no champion is crowned by then, NO. Announcements from MotoGP or the FIM (motogp.com) are the main record; reliable reporting may settle a result that is otherwise unclear.
Each percentage is the market’s current estimate of how likely that answer is. A contract settles at 100p if the answer is right and at 0p if it is wrong.
Reported by versus Markets
