
Prediction
Answer Options
As of 30 October 2026, 10:02 UTC, versus prices Yes at a 50% chance and No at 50%.
YES if Red Bull Racing is the constructor that Formula 1 officially credits with the quickest lap of qualifying for the 2026 Mexico City Grand Prix (the Mexican Grand Prix), scheduled for 31 October 2026; that date carries no separate time zone. If any other team takes pole, NO. The official FIA qualifying classification decides, even if the team on pole is later hit with a grid penalty, a disqualification or a changed starting slot; such later changes never turn YES into NO. If the Grand Prix is called off or moved to a date after 7 November 2026, NO. The official Formula 1 website and FIA records decide; widely reported motorsport coverage may only clarify a published result.
Each percentage is the market’s current estimate of how likely that answer is. A contract settles at 100p if the answer is right and at 0p if it is wrong.
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