Prediction
Answer Options
As of 11 October 2026, 00:30 UTC, the most likely answer on versus is Frontier Airlines at a 8% chance, ahead of JetBlue at 7% and Allegiant at 3%.
This market resolves to “Yes” if the named airline announces, by January 1, 2027 at 05:59 CET, that it will file for bankruptcy or that it has filed for bankruptcy in any form. A public announcement alone is enough for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of whether a filing is ultimately made or when it occurs. To qualify, the announcement must be made through an official or verified company channel, or in a recorded or written statement by the airline’s CEO, legal representatives, or another person or team officially speaking on behalf of the company. A definitive consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Each percentage is the market’s current estimate of how likely that answer is. A contract settles at 100p if the answer is right and at 0p if it is wrong.
Reported by versus Markets
