Prediction
Answer Options
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As of 11 October 2026, 01:32 UTC, versus prices Yes at a 27% chance and No at 73%.
Resolves YES if David Eby is formally appointed Premier of British Columbia as the outcome of the provincial general election set for 24 October 2026 and is formally sworn in as Premier after that election. Otherwise NO. A premier serving only on an interim or caretaker basis does not count. If nobody has been appointed Premier as the outcome of this election by 30 June 2027, 11:59 PM Eastern Time, the overall outcome is 'Other', which counts as NO for this question about David Eby. Decided mainly by what the Government of British Columbia officially publishes; broad agreement among reliable reports may also be used.
Each percentage is the market’s current estimate of how likely that answer is. A contract settles at 100p if the answer is right and at 0p if it is wrong.
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