Prediction
Answer Options
As of 11 October 2026, 01:28 UTC, the most likely answer on versus is Dauda Lawal at a 87% chance, ahead of Hamza Musa Mai Bulawus at 11% and Ahmed Yahuza at 3%.
YES goes to the candidate shown here who wins the 2027 election for Governor of Zamfara State, Nigeria, currently scheduled for 6 February 2027. If that vote is officially moved to another date, the vote that picks the governor whose term begins in 2027 counts instead. A candidate wins by being elected governor under Nigerian law, which requires the most votes and the geographic spread of votes the constitution sets. If nobody is elected outright, any further election or runoff held before the deadline below also counts. Serving only as an interim, acting or caretaker governor does not count. If a candidate not shown here wins, every candidate shown is NO. If nobody has been officially elected, or the result is not definitively known, by 31 October 2027 at 11:59 PM ET, every candidate shown is NO. At most one answer is YES. Reliable news coverage of the result decides; where it is unclear, only the official results from INEC, Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission, and from Nigerian government sources decide.
Each percentage is the market’s current estimate of how likely that answer is. A contract settles at 100p if the answer is right and at 0p if it is wrong.
Reported by versus Markets
