Prediction
Answer Options
As of 11 October 2026, 00:26 UTC, versus prices Yes at a 79% chance and No at 21%.
YES applies if the Texas State Bobcats football team wins more than 4.5 games, which means 5 or more, in its 2026 NCAA Division I regular season. Only regular-season games that are actually played count; postseason games, meaning conference title games, bowls and the College Football Playoff, are excluded even if the NCAA recognises them. Games that are cancelled, forfeited or never played add no win, also when the team ends up playing fewer games than scheduled. If the 2026 regular season is cancelled, is postponed beyond 26 December 2026 at 11:59 PM ET, or the team's win total cannot be determined, the answer is NO. Official NCAA and conference records decide; reliable sports reporting may also be used.
Each percentage is the market’s current estimate of how likely that answer is. A contract settles at 100p if the answer is right and at 0p if it is wrong.
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