Prediction
Answer Options
As of 11 October 2026, 01:28 UTC, the most likely answer on versus is Stephanie Cameron at a 52% chance, ahead of Ben Dudman at 34% and Wayne Johnston at 1%.
YES goes to the candidate elected as Meander Valley Council's next mayor (Tasmania, Australia) through the Tasmanian local government elections scheduled for 27 October 2026; every other listed candidate is NO. Temporary, interim or placeholder mayors installed before the election do not count. If the new mayor is not one of the listed candidates, every listed candidate is NO. If the result is still not known at 11:59 PM ET on 31 March 2027, every listed candidate is NO. At most one listed candidate can be YES. The outcome follows a broad agreement among reliable election coverage; if that is unclear, only the official results announced by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (tec.tas.gov.au) decide.
Each percentage is the market’s current estimate of how likely that answer is. A contract settles at 100p if the answer is right and at 0p if it is wrong.
Reported by versus Markets
