Prediction
Answer Options
As of 11 October 2026, 00:30 UTC, versus prices Yes at a 91% chance and No at 9%.
YES applies when the Cleveland Browns finish the 2026 NFL regular season with more than 4.5 wins. The count uses official regular-season games only; every postseason round is excluded, from the Wild Card through the championship game. A win must come from a game that was actually played. If cancellations, weather, forfeits, or another cause reduce the schedule, unplayed fixtures add no wins. If the season is cancelled, is postponed beyond 15 February 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or the total cannot be established by then, the answer is NO. Official NFL records are primary, and broad agreement among credible reports may also be used. The deadline is 15 February 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
Each percentage is the market’s current estimate of how likely that answer is. A contract settles at 100p if the answer is right and at 0p if it is wrong.
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