Prediction
Answer Options
As of 11 October 2026, 00:28 UTC, the most likely answer on versus is Alberto Núñez Feijóo at a 80% chance, ahead of Pedro Sánchez at 17% and Santiago Abascal at 2%.
This market resolves to the next person who officially takes office as Prime Minister of Spain by April 1, 2028, 05:59 CEST. What qualifies: The individual must receive a vote of confidence from Spain’s Congress of Deputies and be formally sworn in, resulting in the official formation of a new government. What does NOT qualify: An interim or caretaker prime minister who has not received a parliamentary vote of confidence does not count. Other outcome: If no qualifying prime minister takes office by the deadline, the market resolves to “Other.” Resolution source: Official information from the Government of Spain is the primary source, although a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Each percentage is the market’s current estimate of how likely that answer is. A contract settles at 100p if the answer is right and at 0p if it is wrong.
Reported by versus Markets
